Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook. I usually take Friday off from Telegram (Should have taken yesterday off with all of those tricky matches! See video!). I might see you on Telegram if I am about at kick-off times.


English Premier League

20:00 - Arsenal v Everton - 1.91 Arsenal

Arsenal - 9th

  • Only 2 losses in 9 came v Liverpool and Man City.
  • Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw at home recently.
  • Conceded in their last 5 at home.
  • 8 0-0's at halftime at home, only 2 at fulltime.
  • 2-1 loss last head to head.
  • Have beaten 4th, 5th, 7th and 10th at home.

Everton - 8th

  • 2 losses and 3 draws last 5 matches.
  • Failed to score last 2 away.
  • 100% wins away v 6th-13th.

Conclusions

  • Both sides have winning form v teams around their opponent's position in the league.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.
  • On ultra recent form, Arsenal are favoured but remember, 100% wins away for Everton v 6th-13th.

German Bundesliga

19:30 - Augsburg v Koln - 2.50 Koln

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 8/12 Augsburg home matches against bottom-six teams and in 7/10 FC Koln away matches against middle-third teams. FC Koln have lost 7/10 away matches.
  • I like Koln's recent matches, 0-0 and 2-1 win v Leipzig suggesting that they are making a go of avoiding relegation. A slight favouring of the away side if they can keep the goals flowing.

French Ligue 1

20:00 - Reims v Marseille - 2.15 Marseille

Reims - 11th

  • Going unbeaten but....7 draws in their last 9 unbeaten matches.
  • 2 consecutive 0-0's. We saw with Brentford that this sequence tends to end quickly.
  • No defeat in 11 at home.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime at home, only 5 at fulltime.
  • Unbeaten at home v the top 12, losing to 1st and 2nd but drawing the rest at home.
  • 1-1 last head to head.
  • 11/15 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Marseille - 6th

  • Only 2 losses in 11 came away.
  • In 4/5 matches they scored 2+ goals.
  • No win in 10 away.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime away, 2 at fulltime.
  • Only 1 win away v the top 12.

Conclusions

  • Marseille's recent revival has been at home which is the negative here but only 2 losses in 11 is good recent form (albeit away losses).
  • They have 2 goals in the locker if on their game.
  • Reims are unbeaten but far too many draws, 7 in 9 suggests that they may be vulnerable if scoring first.
  • Their conversion rate of 0-0 halftime to fulltime is very poor.

Dutch Eredivisie

17:45 - Willem-II v RKC Waalwijk - 2.00 Willem II

Willem II - 15th

  • Only 5 wins.
  • A rare old run of 5 unbeaten ended with 2 consecutive defeats to nil.
  • Wins at home v 8th, 10th, 16th and 17th, and did lose to 3 of these away.

Conclusions

  • Sorry folks, I cannot read this Willem II side, they can beat, and lose to, the same sides in a season making any form very suspect. Leave this to the in-play stats.

Dutch Eerste Divisie

17:45 - Helmond v FC Eindhoven - 2.15 Helmond

  • 1st goal: Helmond have scored first in 9/13 home matches while FC Eindhoven have lost the first half in 7/10 away matches against middle-third teams. FC Eindhoven have lost by two or more goals in 6/10 away matches against middle-third teams.

17:45 - NAC Breda v Excelsior - 1.70 NAC Breda

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 7/8 NAC Breda home matches against middle-third teams and in 5/7 Excelsior away matches against top-six teams. Excelsior have lost 5/7 away matches against top-six teams.

20:00 - De Graafschap v Almere - 2.00 De Graaf

  • Match outcome: De Graafschap have won 14/20 home matches while Almere City have lost by two or more goals in 5/9 trips to top-six teams. De Graafschap have scored first in 9/10 home matches.

20:00 - Den Bosch v Roda - 1.73 Roda

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 13/18 Roda JC away matches and +3.5 goals in 6/10 Roda JC away matches. Den Bosch have conceded first in 7/9 home matches against top-half teams.

20:00 - Dordrecht v MVV Maastricht - 1.91 MVV

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 9/11 Dordrecht home matches and +3.5 goals in 5/8 Maastricht away matches against bottom-six teams. Maastricht have lost 8/11 away matches.

20:00 - Jong AZ Alkmaar v Cambuur - 1.33 Cambuur

  • Match outcome: Cambuur have won 5/8 away matches against bottom-six teams and they have won by two or more goals in 10/18 away matches. Jong AZ have lost the first half in 7/8 home matches against top-six teams.

20:00 - Jong Ajax v NEC Nijmegen - 2.00 NEC

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 14/20 Jong Ajax home matches and in 9/11 NEC away matches. There have been +3.5 goals in 10/14 Jong Ajax home matches against top-six teams.

20:00 - Jong PSV Eindhoven v TOP Oss - 2.20 Jong PSV

  • 1st goal: Jong PSV have scored first in 6/10 home matches while FC Oss have conceded first in 13/20 away matches. FC Oss have lost 9/13 away matches against middle-third teams.

20:00 - Jong Utrecht v Go Ahead Eagles - 1.57 Go Ahead Eagles

  • Match outcome: Jong Utrecht have lost 8/11 home matches while G.A. Eagles have won 6/9 away matches against bottom-six teams. There have been +2.5 goals in 9/11 G.A. Eagles away matches against bottom-six teams.