DRT Daily Research Bulletin, December 18, 2020

I will do a review/preview at DRT Facebook. Friday is normally a day off from Telegram.
ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP
20:00 - Preston v Bristol City - 2.30 Preston
Preston - 16th
- 2 consecutive defeats.
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
- All defeats v 8th-17th at home.
- 9/12 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.
Bristol City - 9th
- 3 losses in 4 matches.
- 2 losses and a win last 3 matches.
- Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Only 1 loss away v 8th and lower.
Conclusions
- On seasonal form, Bristol City away v 8th and lower have suffered only one defeat. Really compelling. Add to that Preston's 100% defeats at home v 8th-17th and the Challenge Table form is with Bristol City.
- Lay any 2nd half 0-0.
SPANISH LA LIGA
20:00 - Athletic Bilbao v Huesca - 2.15 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao - 13th
- No win in 4 matches.
- 3 consecutive home wins ended with a loss.
- Only 2 clean sheets.
- 3 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
- Only played one of 11th and lower at home, a 2-0 win v 18th.
- 6/8 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
Huesca - 19th
- First win of the season came last match.
- 5 draws and 2 defeats away.
- Scored and conceded last 4 away matches.
- Defeats away came v the top 4, all other draws.
- 9/14 goals conceded away came 2nd half.
Conclusions
- Athletic Bilbao look decent at home but there is a gap in form v 11th and lower.
- Huesca, if they are to record a 2nd win, are likely to win 0-1 and are layable if leading 0-1 with insurance on the 0-1.
- Both teams have scored in Huesca's last 4 away matches.
GERMAN BUNDESLIGA
19:30 - Union Berlin v Dortmund - 1.80 Dortmund
Union Berlin - 6th
- Only 2 defeats.
- 3 score draws and a defeat last 4 matches.
- 3 score draws and a win last 4 home matches.
- Scored in every match.
- No 0-0 at halftime at home.
- Not beaten a top 13 side.
- 6 goals scored at home first 15 mins.
Dortmund - 4th
- Only 1 win in 4 matches severely distracted by the Champions League.
- But won last match and much improved.
- Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win away, scoring and conceding last 3 away.
- Scored and conceded last 6 matches.
- Not played the top 8 away.
- 10/11 goals scored away came 2nd half.
Conclusions
- Union are in decent nick, but play a Dortmund not distracted by the Champions league and coming off the back of a redemptive win latest. Dortmund are unbeaten away, but notably are yet to play the top 8 away so this unbeaten run needs a context.
- Union Berlin are yet to beat the top 13 so a nod towards Dortmund IF they are on a return to reliable ways.
- Do remember Dortmund's 2nd half scoring trend has been reliable.
DUTCH EREDIVISIE
19:00 - Zwolle v Emmen - 1.85 Zwolle
Zwolle - 11th
- Only 4 defeats and they have come v arguably the top 4 established sides in Holland.
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
- 3/4 defeats came v the top 3.
- 5/7 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
Emmen - 18th
- No win.
- 4 consecutive away defeats.
- No clean sheets.
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
- All 4 goals scored away came 2nd half.
Conclusions
- Zwolle only tend to lose to top sides, top 3 sides in fact and that forms the basis my my expectations here although they are drawing far too many matches. Draw worst case for them today.
RUSSIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
15:00 - Tambov v Ural - 1.33 Ural
Tambov - 16th
- Only 3 wins.
- 6 consecutive defeats.
- Conceded last 6 and last 5 at home.
- 3 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
- Opponents have scored first in 7/9 home matches.
- All losses at home came v the top 10.
- 0-0 last head to head.
Ural - 12th
- Only 1 loss in 7 matches came v Zenit.
- 0-0 away v 14th and 1-2 win away v 15th.
Conclusions
- I am not sure why Ural are such emphatic favourites. They have only 1 away win.
- We must respect the market though. Tambov are conceding regularly but have lost at home v the top 10 only and play 12th today!
TURKISH SUPER LIG
16:00 - Karagumruk v Galatasaray - 1.8 Galatasary
Karagumruk - 9th
- All 3 defeats came away.
- Scored and conceded last 4 matches at home.
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
- Not beaten a top 8 side, where all 3 defeats came from.
- Not played the top 6 at home yet.
Galatasary - 2nd
- 5 wins and a draw last 6 matches.
- 4 wins and a loss last 5 away matches.
- 2+ goals scored last 3 away.
- No 0-0 at halftime away.
- 6 wins and a 1-1 v 8th and lower.
Conclusions
- Karagumruk are unbeaten at home but have not played the top 8 yet so that unbeaten run needs that context.
- Gala are 2nd and are unbeaten v 8th and lower so I'd give them the nod.
- Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
DUTCH EERSTE DIVISIE
17:45 - Den Bosch v FC Eindhoven - 2.10 FC Eindhoven
Den Bosch - 19th
- Only 2 wins came at home first 2 matches of the season.
- Only 3 clean sheets.
- 2 consecutive home 2-2 draws.
- Conceded in their last 6 and last 6 at home.
- Opponents scored first in 7/8 home matches.
- All wins came at home v the bottom 3.
- 9/11 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
FC Eindhoven - 7th
- Only 1 loss in 6 matches.
- Scored in their last 6 matches.
- 6/7 wins came home and away v 13th and lower.
Conclusions
- It looks a little more clear cut than the market suggests.
- Score draw best case for Den Bosch. FC Eindhoven tend to win v 13th and lower and, meeting the bottom 3 today, won emphatically at home v the bottom 3.
17:45 - NAC Breda v Volendam - 2.45 Volendam
NAC - 6th
- Failed to score last 3 matches with 2 0-0's.
- 0-0-1-0 goals scored at home recently.
- No draw in 8 at home.
- All defeats bar 1 came v the top 4.
Volendam - 5th
- Unbeaten in 13 and in 7 away.
- Scored and conceded last 5 away.
- 8/10 goals conceded away came 1st half.
Conclusions
- NAC lose to the top 4. Does that extend to 5th? Also, struggling to score at home lately might leave them vulnerable to a Volendam unbeaten in 13 matches.
20:00 - Jong AZ Alkmaar v Helmond - 2.25 Jong AZ
Jong AZ - 17th
- Only 3 wins.
- 8 losses in their last 10 matches.
- Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Conceded last 7 at home.
- Only home win was strangely a 7-2 v 3rd!!
- 10/14 goals scored at home came 1st half.
Helmond Sport - 16th
- Only 4 wins.
- No win in 4 away.
- Conceded last 6 away matches.
- All 4 wins have come v 12th and lower.
- 9/12 goals conceded away came 2nd half.
Conclusions
- These 2 win rarely but notably Helmond's wins come v 12th and lower and suggest they will enjoy meeting 17th today.
- Do remember though that these 2 are a little iffy.
20:00 - MVV Maastricht v Dordrecht - 2.05 MVV
MVV - 20th
- 8 defeats last 10 matches.
- 4 losses and a draw last 5 home matches.
- Conceded last 11 matches.
- Scored and conceded last 4 at home.
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
- 3-0 home win v 14th, 3-3 home draw v 15th.
Dordrecht - 18th
- 2 wins in 3 matches, only 2 of 3 wins all season.
- Sole away win came last match 0-1.
Conclusions
- These 2 are in poor form and may not be worth relying upon. Dordrecht won their only match away last match.
- MVV have scoring 3 goals v 14th and 15th at home - coincidence or something they are capable of today?