
Odds taken from www.willhill.com
Where I mention BANKER below, this signifies those matches where I think the favourites should win. These matches I would personally prioritise as regards DRT.
Remember the strategies:
Lay the 0-0 halftime score in certain signalled matches
Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialised
Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.
Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are favourites. The home team is usually galvanised by the halftime team talk.
Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches (especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds).
Lay the underdog scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market, especially in BANKER matches.
Do note matches where one team is red carded. The opponents do tend to score next more often than not.
Good call in the HJK match yesterday. I told you to expect a 2nd half goal if the match was 0-0 at halftime and HJK scored it in the 68th minute.
It was another clean sheet for SJK as they won 2-0. Is the Finnish league becoming readable? If this continues then it will be a profitable summer in Finland.
Did you lay Vestjaelland as advised if they scored first? Copenhagen scored the next 2 goals.
Besiktas did draw again. It seems they have decided not to bother winning the Turkish Super Lig with 2 consecutive 1-1 draws. I did lay the late draw at 1.1 but 'twas not to be.
"lay Fredericia if they score first (i may cover the 0-1 correct score if the odds are large enough because of said clean sheets)". Well Fredericia scored in the 39th minute and won 0-1. Did you cover the 0-1 correct score? If so you'd have come out break even in this match.
Southend v Stevenage I got spot on with a 1-1 pre match correct score.
Kudos to Dnipro winning 1-0 and Sevilla winning 0-2. Both matches were unreadable.
A great set of results yesterday considering the matches and leagues I had to work with. A profitable angle to be had in nearly all of the matches was very welcome indeed. Besiktas I think should start playing Sunday League football at our local park. At least they may win a game or 2.
On to today and it's another case of secondary leagues. That did not stop us profiting yesterday though....
17:00 UK Lok Zagreb v Slaven Belupo - 1.91 home
Standout Stats
- 3 consecutive clean sheets in head to heads for Lok, winning 2 of those matches.
- This is 4th v 6th and 3rd place is the best these 2 can hope for. I think 3rd place allows for European football. There are only 3 matches remaining
Lok Zagreb
- 5 match losing streak
- No win in 7 matches overall.
- Scored and conceded in their last 5 at home.
- 4 2-1 losses and a 5-0 loss in the last 5 matches.
- 1-5, 2-2, 1-2, 1-2, 1-2 in the last 5 home matches.
- 69% over 2.5 goals at home
- Both teams scored in 69% of home matches.
- Only 1 0-0 at home
Slaven Belupo
- No win in 7 away matches
- Conceded in their last 8 away matches
- 5 losses and 2 draws in their last 7 matches away
- Only 1 away win all season was a 2-3
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- It must be a league based around 1st and 2nd, because 4th and 6th are shocking teams. Lord knows the bottom side must have 10 Mr. Magoo's playing for them.
- I would take the both teams to score aspect out of this match given Zagreb's recent unwelcome habits and lay any team 2-0 /0-2 up.
- Lay any late 0-0.
- This is not a match to dwell on as both teams are in shocking recent form, dreaming of hols in Split no doubt.
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5:30pm - AaB v OB - 1.82 home
Standout Stats
- 2-3 AaB, 1-1 and 1-1 in the last 3 head to heads.
- This is 5th v 8th in the Danish Superliga
AaB
- No draw in 8 at home.
- Scored in their last 5 at home
- 0-3, 5-0, 1-1 in their last 3 matches.
- 36% over 2.5 goals all season
- Only 1 0-0 at home
- Scored first in 11 of 14 home matches.
OB
- No draw in 12 away matches
- 2 match winning streak away
- 3 wins in their last 4 away matches, 1-2, 1-2, 0-2
- No 0-0 at halftime away
- Opponents have scored first in 10 of 14 away matches.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Lay any late draw in the hope OB continue to avoid them.
- Both sides have recent good form. Both teams to score might have legs today based on head to heads and OB's recent 1-2's away from home.
- AaB look most likely to score first today statistically.
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17:30 UK VVV Venlo v Top Oss - 1.67 home
Standout Stats
- These 2 Eerste divisie teams are in a play-off.
- Notwithstanding the importance of this 2nd leg, both teams have scored in the last 14 head to heads.
- It's 1-2 to VVV from the first leg - their 2nd goal was a penalty.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Little else to go on given that this is a play-off. Both teams to score anyone? Surely! VVV have a very tenuous lead and a penalty resulting in a winner is hardly emphatic. Lay the first goalscorer today? This being Holland, I would favour goals rather than cagey 0-0's
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18:00 UK Dunajska Streda v Zilina - 1.67 away
Standout Stats
- This is the Slovenian top flight. 2-1 Dun, 2-2 and 3-1 Zilina in the last 3 head to heads.
- This is 9th v 2nd in the Slovenian premier league.
Dunajska
- 2 consecutive 1-0 wins.
- Been pretty tight recently at home. 1-0-0-1-0-1-1-0 conceded recently
- Only 1 home loss.
- Conceded 2 or 3 goals v top 2 home and away.
- 29% over 2.5 goals at home this season.
Zilina
- 4 wins in their last 5 matches scoring 4-2-3-3- in those wins.
- 1-0 loss and 1-1 in their last 2 away matches.
- Failed to score in only 5 matches this season.
- 3 match winning streak away
- Only 3 losses this season, 2 were away 1-0
- Scored 3-6-3- v bottom 3 away and playing 4th bottom today
- Only 1 0-0 away.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- The number 3 resonates with Zilina and if on form, we could see them scoring 3 goals again today
- But that flies in the face of Dunajska's recent solid defensive displays. They have though conceded 2 or 3 goals v top 2 home away away.
- If Dunajska score first, I would consider backing Zilina at enhanced odds in the hope those 2 or 3 goals are continued.
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19:30 UK Ajaccio GFCO v Niort - 1.5 home
Standout Stats
- 2-2, 2-1 Niort, 1-1 in the last 3 head to heads. They have certainly been tighter than a 1.5 quote would suggest.
- This is 2nd v 10th in the French Ligue 1. 2nd is the best Ajaccio can hope for. 2nd and 3rd I believe go into a play-off.
Ajaccio
- No defeat in 15 at home scoring in all of those matches.
- 3 consecutive draws.
- Only 2 home losses, one v 1st and the other v 18th at home
- 4 draws at home were 1-1 draws and they have had 2 of them recently.
- 22% over 2.5 goals at home
- No 0-0 at home
Niort
- No draw in 3 away
- Scored and conceded in their last 2 matches.
- Only 2 defeats in 19 matches is excellent.
- Losses away v 1st, 5th, 13th, 15th,and 20th.
- 28% over 2.5 goals away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Look at the low over 2.5 goals stats. This, if continuing suggests a tight match and a 1-0, 1-1, 0-1 scoreline if we see a goal. Back 0-0 pre-match might have legs here if these 2 cancel each other out with their excellent defences. Ajaccio are the form side, at home with 15 unbeaten but Niort are excellent with only 2 defeats in 19 matches overall.
- 1-1 I would back pre-match as it is still alive whoever scores first.
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19:30 UK Nancy v Angers - 1.73 home
Standout Stats
- Both teams have scored in their last 6 head to heads.
- Draw, Draw, Nancy, Angers in their last 4 head to heads.
- This is 4th v 3rd in French Ligue 2. Angers go 2nd with a win.
- Only 2 matches remain this season. Angers will be looking for 2nd, and Nancy could go 3rd
Nancy
- 2 match home winning streak.
- Scored in their last 8 matches and in their last 9 at home.
- 2 consecutive clean sheets at home.
- 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches.
- Only 1 loss in the last 8 home matches.
- 2 consecutive home 2-0 wins.
- Have beaten 1st, 2nd at home.
- 67% over 2.5 goals at home.
- Only 1 0-0 at home
- This is Nancy's last home match of the season
Angers
- No win in 3 away matches
- Scored and conceded in their last 2 away matches.
- Only 2 losses in their last 12 matches came away from home.
- Lost away to 1st and 2nd. Only 1 win away v top 13 sides.
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- This should be a tight match and both teams could score. Angers have not won in 3 away but only 2 losses in 12 sees them possibly competitive today.
- Lay any late 0-0 here.
- Tough to split the sides today. Note it is Nancy's last match of the season. Enough for them to make an effort not to lose?
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19:30 UK Sparta Prague v Slovacko - 1.25 home
Standout Stats
- 14 consecutive head to head wins for Sparta Prague. 4-4-4-1-2 scored in their last 5 matches.
- This is 2nd v 8th in the Czech top league.
Sparta Prague
- No draw in 7 overall and in 13 at home.
- 10 wins in their last 14 matches.
- 10 wins in their last 11 home matches.
- Only 2 losses at home v 1st and 12th.
- Only conceded more than 1 goal in a single match at home v 1st in the league.
- No 0-0 at home
Slovacko
- No draw in 2 away
- Only 2 wins in 9 matches.
- Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches.
- No win home or away v top 4.
- Have not beaten any team away from home above them in the league.
- Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 away matches.
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- This looks like Sparta Prague will win this with relative ease, hence this is a good DRT match. Slovacko have trouble scoring away to teams above them. Sparta are in excellent recent form and 10 wins in 11 at home. Sparta lost their last home match and I cannot see them losing a 2nd consecutive home match.
- Given Sparta have scored 4 recently in head to heads, lay the 0-0 halftime score.
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19:45 UK St Johnstone v Celtic - 1.36 away
Standout Stats
- Boing, Boing, Splat. The sound of a dead rubber. I did like Celtic's attitude away at Aberdeen when they secured their 3rd consecutive clean sheet win.
- 2 consecutive 1-1 draws for St Johnstone sees them unbeaten in 4 matches.They have only conceded 0-1-1-0-0-1-1 recently.3-3, 0-3, 1-2 for Celtic and 0-1 to St Johnstone in recent head to heads
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- It could be 0-0 at halftime. Celtic have come alive quite often this season in the 2nd half. A dead rubber so don't prioritise unless something major happens (2-0 St Johnstone for instance!)
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19:45 UK De Graafschap v Almere - 1.61 home
Standout Stats
- This is a Dutch play-off and I'm afraid I don't really have a strong opinion as I keep repeating, these types of matches are tough to research. It's 1-1 from the first leg. Away goals count? If so, then De Graaf hold all of the cards. As per my earlier comment. This being Holland, I would favour goals rather than cagey 0-0's
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19:45 UK Dundalk v Derry - 1.25 home
Standout Stats
- 5 wins and a draw for Dundalk in the last 6 head to heads.
- This is 1st v 7th in the Irish Premier League.
Dundalk
- 10 wins in 12 matches. Great season.
- 8 clean sheets in 12 matches. Scored in all matches this season.
- 2-3-2-8-2 scored in their last 5 matches.
- Only conceded 1 goal at home in all wins this season. That was in an 8-1 spanking of Bray.
- 6 match winning streak at home.
- 67% over 2.5 goals at home
- No 0-0 this season
Derry
- No defeat in 2 away matches. 2 consecutive away clean sheets
- Only 3 wins all season
- Failed to score in 7 of their last 11 matches.
- Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches.
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Dundalk tend to win in head to heads. They are winning readily and only conceded at home which was a penalty. The final score was 8-1.
- Derry have had trouble scoring in recent matches, and Dundalk have scored 17 goals in 5 home matches. Again this looks clear cut and any DRT angle will come up if Derry score first or if there is a concerted period of 0-0.
- With the home average, Dundalk could score at least 3 goals today. If 0-0 at halftime therefore, back over 2.5 goals or 3-0 for the 2nd half.
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20:00 UK Shamrock Rovers v Longford - 1.35 home
Standout Stats
- 4 consecutive head to head wins for Shamrock Rovers 4-0, 3-0, 0-2 in the last 3 head to heads.
- This is 3rd v 6th in the Irish Premier League.
Shamrock Rovers
- Unbeaten this season.
- 6 draws in their last 10 matches.
- 5 clean sheets in 6 matches at home.
- 9 clean sheets in 12 at home.
- 33% over 2.5 goals all season.
Longford
- No draw away
- Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Lost 1-0 and 2-0 to 1st and 2nd away in the league.
- Only 1 win in 7 matches.
- No 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Clean sheet wins for Shamrock in recent head to heads. 9 clean sheets in 12 for Shamrock and 5 clean sheets in 6 home matches. I do like to see teams keeping clean sheets. I think Shamrock should win today but it may require a clean sheet.
- 1-0, 2-0 potential correct scores. There are no strong angles just yet. The season is in its early throes.
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