Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Friday and Monday I usually take a break from in order to ensure I work Saturdays and Sundays instead. Never say never though if I am up and about I'll Telegram but please do excuse me if you don't hear from me on these Fridays. I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook.

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

20:00 - Leeds United v West Ham - 2.15 Leeds

Leeds United - 14th

  • Only 4 wins.
  • Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw at home recently.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 1-1-0-0 scored at home v the top 15.
  • 4 goals scored at home 46th-60th minute.

West Ham - 8th

  • 3 wins and a loss last 4 matches.
  • Only 2 away losses v Arsenal and Liverpool.
  • Failed to score in only first match of the season.
  • 5/7 goals conceded away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Leeds so far have struggled to score a 2nd goal v the top 15 at home. If that continues, lay them if they score first? West Ham have failed to score in only their first match of the season. Remember that.

SPANISH LA LIGA

20:00 - Valladolid v Osasuna - 2.40 Valladolid

Valladolid - 19th

  • Only 2 wins came within the last 4 matches.
  • Win, Draw at home last 2 matches.
  • No clean sheets.
  • 2-1 at home v 14th, 1-1 at home v 16th, 1-1 at home v 17th.
  • 6/8 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Osasuna - 18th

  • 4 losses and a draw last 5 matches.
  • Failed to score in their 4 away matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • 4/6 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Osasuna are having trouble even scoring and with Valladolid unbeaten at home v 14th and lower, we favour the home side.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

19:30 - Wolfsburg v Frankfurt - 2.15 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg - 5th

  • Unbeaten.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • 3 consecutive home wins.
  • 2-2-2-2-5-3 goals before halftime recently.
  • Scored last 7 matches.
  • 3 home wins have come v 10th and lower.
  • 5 goals scored at home in the 16th-30th minute.
  • 7/9 goals scored at home came 1st half.

Frankfurt - 9th

  • 5 consecutive score draws.
  • Scored and conceded in all bar 1 match.
  • 3 score draws in 4 away matches.
  • Conceded in every match.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 3-2-3-1 goals scored and 3-2-1-1 goals conceded away.

Conclusions

  • These 2 are in decent nick. Only Bayern have beaten Frankfurt and the Wolf remain unbeaten. This will be a tester for the Wolf today. I cannot discount either side but do note Frankfurt's love of score draws (remember that if they score first).
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

ITALIAN SERIA A

19:45 - Sassuolo v Benevento - 1.65 Sassuolo

Sassuolo - 5th

  • Only 1 defeat came at home v Inter Milan.
  • Only 1 home win.
  • 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Only home win v bottom.
  • 7/8 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 5/8 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Benevento - 13th

  • A win and 2 draws last 3 matches.
  • Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw away.
  • Not beaten the top 8 home or away, scoring and conceding in each of those matches.
  • 5/7 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • The market looks right here. Benevento do score but tend to lose to the top 8 and play 5th today.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

19:00 - Heracles v Fortuna Sittard - 1.90 Heracles

Heracles - 13th

  • Only 2 wins came at home.
  • 3 losses and a draw last 4 matches.
  • 2 losses in 3 matches at home.
  • Conceded last 4 matches at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 5/8 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Fortuna Sittard - 16th

  • Only win came last match.
  • 4 wins and a draw away.
  • 2+ goals conceded last 11 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • All defeats v the top 7.
  • Only played one of 6th-17th.

Conclusions

  • Only 2 wins plays only 1 win.
  • Fortuna Sittard do concede 2 goals so remember that if they score first today.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

FRENCH LIGUE 1

20:00 - St Etienne v Angers - 2.50 St Etienne

St Etienne - 15th

  • No win in 10 matches saw 7 defeats.
  • 3 defeats and a draw last 4 at home.
  • Conceded last 4 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Only 1 win home and away v the top 14.
  • 4/6 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Angers - 7th

  • 3 wins in 4 matches.
  • 3 consecutive away wins.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 away.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 4 wins away v 8th, 9th, 16th and 20th.

Conclusions

  • I must favour Angers on what I see. 3 wins in 4, 3 consecutive away wins and playing a St Etienne side with no win in 10 matches. The market has different ideas and gives St Etienne a chance here but that chance is not apparent via the seasonal form.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

DANISH SUPER LIGA

18:00 - Randers v Vejle - 2.00 Randers

Randers - 6th

  • 4 wins in 5 matches - 3 of those wins came away.
  • 3 consecutive home losses ended with a draw at home.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 4/6 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • All wins v 9th and lower. 0-3 win away v Vejle.

Vejle - 10th

  • 4 losses and a draw last 5 matches.
  • Draw, Loss away recently.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Scored in their last 5 away.
  • Conceded last 7 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 6/8 goals scored away came 2nd half.
  • Wins away v 8th/9th.

Conclusions

  • Both teams could score today with Vejle not winning, so says the seasonal form.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market. 4 wins in 5 will give Randers some confidence but 3 of those wins came away.
  • Randers love scoring 3 goals v 9th and lower. Will that continue?

DUTCH EERSTE DIVISIE

17:45 - Jong Utrecht v Excelsior - 2.37 Excelsior

Jong Utrecht - 14th

  • A draw and 2 defeats last 3 matches.
  • Only 2 wins at home came last 3 matches.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Scored in their last 10 and last 4 at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Scored first in 5/7 at home.
  • 2 home wins v 10th and 15th.

Excelsior - 12th

  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • 2 consecutive away defeats.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime away, only 1 at fulltime.
  • 5 wins came v 16th and lower.
  • 3 wins and a loss away v 13th and lower.
  • 8/11 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • 3 wins and a loss away v 13th and lower puts Excelsior in a good light, as they play 14th today.
  • But then Jong Utrecht have starting winning at home in their last 3 home matches.
  • 2.37 the favourite is the result....tough to argue against one specific side but is the consistency of 5 wins v 16th and lower and 3 wins away v 13th and lower enough to suggest Excelsior are the more reliable?

17:45 - TOP Oss v Jong PSV Eindhoven - 2.15 TOP Oss

TOP Oss - 16th

  • Only 3 wins.
  • 2 draws and a win last 3 matches.
  • 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
  • 5 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches at home.
  • All 3 wins have come v 17th and lower.

Jong PSV - 13th

  • Only 4 wins.
  • Only 2 wins in 12 matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Conceded last 9 and last 8 away.
  • Beat 17th away, 19th away and 20th 3-3. Good news when playing 16th.

Conclusions

  • I like Jong PSV's form and goal scoring v 17th and lower away. The question is whether that will extend to 16th today?
  • But....TOP Oss have been keeping clean sheets recently and Jong PSV have only 1 clean sheet. I will use the in-play stats here to see if the free scoring v 17th and lower for Jong PSV is apparent today.

17:45 - Volendam v Den Bosch - 1.33 Volendam

Volendam - 6th

  • Only 2 defeats.
  • 3 score draws in 4 matches.
  • No defeat in 12 and in 6 at home.
  • Scored last 10 matches and scored and conceded last 5 matches.
  • 13 goals scored in 2 matches v 17th and lower.
  • 7 goals scored at home came last 15 minutes of matches.

Den Bosch - 19th

  • 2 2-2's last 3 matches came at home.
  • Scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • No win in 11 and in 7 away.
  • All defeats v the top 8, tending to concede 3 goals.

Conclusions

  • I expect an emphatic win for Volendam, likely to score 3+ goals today.

20:00 - De Graafschap v Jong Ajax - 1.70 De Graafschap

De Graafschap - 3rd

  • 2 losses in 3 matches.
  • Loss, Win, Loss last 3 at home.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • No draw in 9 and in 7 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 8 wins and a loss home and away v 10th and lower.

Jong Ajax - 11th

  • 3 score draws in 4 winless matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 9 matches and last 4 away.
  • 7 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches away.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 3 losses v top 5, 2 came away.

Conclusions

  • On seasonal form, Jong Ajax collect away defeats v the top 5. Any reason to expect a reversal?
  • De Graafschap love playing teams 10th and lower.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

20:00 - Go Ahead Eagles v NAC Breda - 2.05 Go Ahead Eagles

Go Ahead Eagles - 8th

  • 2 losses in 3 matches.
  • Only played one of the top 7 at home, a 0-0.

NAC Breda - 5th

  • Failed to score last 2 matches.
  • All bar 1 defeat has come v the top 4.

Conclusions

  • Not a match which greatly appeals but I do note that NAC have only tended to lose to the top 4 so why are they not even market favourites here?

20:00 - Telstar v Almere - 2.15 Almere

Telstar - 7th

  • 2 wins in 3 matches.
  • Win, Loss, Win, Loss at home.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored in their last 8 at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • Scored and conceded at home v the top 8 without winning.
  • 11/16 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 8/10 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Almere - 2nd

  • Only 1 loss.
  • Failed to score in only 1st match.
  • 2+ goals scored last 8 and last 4 away.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 away.
  • Only loss came away v 1st.

Conclusions

  • On seasonal form, Almere have the ammo to produce a good result, even if conceding. They have scored 2+ goals last 8 matches and that is consistent form.
  • Strong 2nd half goals stats for Telstar so if a quiet 1st half, remember that.