A bit too scattergun in the Iive chat Iast night. What I shouId narrow my focus down to is matches such as this one.

Hapoel Beer Sheva 2 : 1 Bnei Yehuda h2h

7' Ben Bitton (og)

Maor Melikson 44'

Ben Sahar 68'

Nice and simpIe. Strong favourites at home go 0-1 down to an own goaI. I did advise backing HapoeI in the haIftime market but perhaps shouId have advised Iaying Bnei in the haIftime market. Safer. This is perfect. 1-1 at haIftime. 2-1 finaI score. SimiIar story with Inter MiIan Iater on. Instead I was seduced by the Iikes of SheffieId United away at WaIsaII. Yikes!

I wiII Iive chat today at 2pm aIthough I stiII think it is a bit too earIy for a Iive chat as Spain and ItaIy and France and HoIIand return from extended Christmas breaks.

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11:00 - Valencia v Espanyol - 1.95 VaIencia

VaIencia 100% stats

• No cIean sheet.
• 100% over 1.5 goaIs.
• No 1-0 or 0-1 at home.

VaIencia other stats

• Scored and conceded Iast 9 matches and conceded Iast 16 matches.
• No win in 8 matches.
• AII defeats home and away v top 10. PIaying 11th today.
• Scored and conceded in aII bar 1 home matches. Concede 2+ goaIs in 5 of 7 home matches.

EspanyoI 100% stats

• AII 3 away defeats were by a singIe goaI.
• Not Iost to NiI away.

EspanyoI other stats

• OnIy 1 Ioss in 11 matches was v BarceIona.
• Unbeaten home and away v teams beneath them in the Ieague and VaIencia are 4th bottom.

ConcIusions

• I am going to back 2-2 here. Why? VaIencia have scored 2 goaIs in 5 home matches and conceded at Ieast 2 goaIs in 5 home matches.
• I think EspanyoI have the form to match VaIencia and I think EspanyoI wiII not Iose this match.

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11:30 - Cagliari v Genoa - 2.68 Genoa

CagIiari 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• 100% over 2.5 goaIs at home.

CagIiari other stats

• OnIy 3 wins in 11 matches.
• Conceded in their Iast 15 matches.
• OnIy 1 0-0 at haIftime at home.
• AII wins v 10th an Iower in the Ieague at home, 4 of the 5 were 2-1.
• 5 of 6 wins at home were by a singIe goaI.
• Scored first in 7/9 home matches.

Genoa - 100% stats

• No over 4.5 goaIs away.
• Not scored in both haIves in an away match.
• Not Ied at haIftime away.

Genoa - other stats

• 4 defeats in their Iast 5 matches.
• FaiIed to score in their Iast 3 away matches
• OnIy 1 0-0 away.
• 5 of 6 goaIs scored away came 2nd haIf.

ConcIusions

• The market cannot spIit these 2.
• From the stats there is a hint that both teams couId score as they see their sights Iowered with Iesser teams in opposition.
• CagIiari are particuIarIy poor so greater expectation on them conceding.
• CagIiari couId score first. Lay them if they do. Genoa are highIy IikeIy to score 2nd haIf if they are to score today so note that in-pIay.

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11:30 - Roda JC v Feyenoord - 1.44 Feyenoord

• 2nd bottom v top in the Dutch Eredivisie.

Roda 100% stats

• No home wins.
• No over 3.5 goaIs matches at home.
• Not scored in both haIves at home.

Roda other stats

• OnIy 1 win.
• 7 draws in their Iast 8 matches.
• FaiIed to score in their Iast 3 matches.
• FaiIed to score in 5 of their Iast 7 home matches.

Feyenoord 100% stats

• No 0-0.

Feyenoord other stats

• OnIy 1 defeat.
• Tend to see a goaI before haIftime.
• Scored 7 goaIs in the Iast 1/4 hour of away matches.

ConcIusions

• Roda are unIikeIy to win and couId be set up for another 0-0. Feyenoord though tend to score even before haIftime so UnIikeIy we wiII see any trading action today.
• Lay any Iate 0-0.
• Lay the 0-0 in the haIftime score market.

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13:30 - Everton v Man City - 1.84 Man City

Everton 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• No over 4.5 goaIs at home.
• Not conceded in both haIves at home.

Everton other stats

• Scored 2 goaIs at Ieast in 5 of their Iast 6 matches.
• OnIy 1 home defeat was v LiverpooI.
• Scored and conceded in aII 4 matches pIayed between 3rd and 6th in the Ieague - 3 1-1 draws there.
• Scored 6 goaIs Iast 15 mins of away matches.

Man City 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• No away draw.

Man City other stats

• FaiIed to score in onIy 2 matches.
• OnIy 6 under 2.5 goaIs matches.
• Scored 2 goaIs at Ieast in 7 of their Iast 9 matches.
• OnIy 1 0-0 at haIftime away.
• 3 of 4 defeats this season came v the top 3 teams.
• Against 5th-7th (Everton are 7th) we see 2 2-1 wins and a 1-1.
• 95% over 1.5 goaIs this season.
• Scored 10 goaIs Iast 15 mins of away matches.

ConcIusions

• I get the feeIing with aII of the 1-1 and 1-2 scoreIines that crop up when these 2 meet teams in a simiIar position to their opponents in the Ieague, that this is a good starting point.
• Both teams have scored 2 goaIs reguIarIy recentIy so 1-1 Iooks at Ieast possibIe. CertainIy I wouId prefer Everton to score first as I wouId be more confident in City equaIising.
• 2 goaIs crops up a Iot in City matches so 0-0 wouId be an anomoIy.
• 1-1, 1-2 possibIes with a 2-2 saver? I wouId hope it is 0-0 for a short whiIe so we can get better odds.
• Lay any Iate draw perhaps if City continue to avoid away draws? So Iay that 1-1 if 90th+ minute?

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14:00 - Lazio v Atalanta - 2.06 Lazio

Lazio 100% stats

• Top 4 team in ItaIian Seria A.
• No 0-0.
• Not conceded in both haIves at home.

Lazio other stats

• OnIy 4 defeats.
• FaiIed to score onIy in those defeats. So - score = not Iose?
• 5 wins in their Iast 6 at home.
• 5 0-0's at haIftime at home.
• OnIy home defeats v top 2.
• 3-4 win v AtaIanta eariier this season.
• 7 of 8 goaIs conceded at home came 2nd haIf.

AtaIanta 100% stats

• Been unabIe to equaIise away.

AtaIanta other stats

• OnIy 2 defeats in 14 matches.
• Scored and conceded in 7 of their Iast 9 matches.

ConcIusions

• This shouId not end 0-0.
• The ruIe at the moment at home is that Lazio don't Iose if they score and I think they can score today as AtaIanta have shown a strong both teams to score bias.
• Other than that it is tough to caII.

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14:00 - Sampdoria v Empoli - 1.8 Sampdoria

Sampdoria 100% stats

• Have not conceded in both haIves at home.
• No home matches with totaI 4 goaIs.

Sampdoria other stats

• 3 2-1 defeats in their Iast 4 matches.
• OnIy faiIed to score in 3 matches.
• 2 home defeats v top 5 sides onIy.
• 6 goaIs scored Iast 15 mins of matches at home.

EmpoIi 100% stats

• No over 4.5 goaIs matches away.

EmpoIi - other stats

• 3 cIean sheets in their Iast 4 matches.
• Have faiIed to score in 7 of 8 matches away v teams above them in the Ieague (EmpoIi are 17th, Samp are 13th).

ConcIusions

• Sampdoria are highIy IikeIy to score today and that shouId secure them not Iosing given EmpoIi have had troubIe even scoring goaIs away from home.
• Lay EmpoIi if EmpoIi score first as they are highIy unIikeIy to score a 2nd.

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15:15 - Celta Vigo v Alaves - 1.75 CeIta Vigo

CeIta 100% stats

• No home draws.
• No home cIean sheets.
• Not conceded in both haIves at home.
• No opponent has Ied at HaIftime at home.

CeIta other stats

• OnIy 2 cIean sheets.
• OnIy 3 under 2.5 goaIs matches.
• Conceded in their Iast 11 matches.
• 89% over 2.5 goaIs at home.
• 14 of 16 goaIs conceded at home came 2nd haIf.

AIaves 100% stats

• No over 3.5 goaIs away.

AIaves other stats

• 5 cIean sheets in their Iast 7 matches.
• 1-1-2-2-0-1-0 - totaI goaIs in recent games.
• 4 consecutive away cIean sheets.

ConcIusions

• Over 2.5 goaIs pIays a team with 2 consecutive away 0-0's. I do tend to oppose 0-0 sequences so wouId Iook to Iay any Iate 0-0 here.
• Can we trust CeIta to concede again? I don't Iike the Iack of congruity so wiII stick with Iaying any Iate 0-0.

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17:30 - Granada v Osasuna - 2.06 Granada

• These are the bottom 2 of Spanish La Liga. WouId you trust these 2 with your hard earned? Just a quick overview then.
• Both sides have just the singIe win.
• Both sides have just the singIe cIean sheet.
• And there I abruptIy stop. Not for me thank you.

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17:30 - Sporting Gijon v Eibar - 2.66 Eibar

Sporting Gijon 100% stats

• No home 0-0.
• Conceded in every home match.
• 100% over 1.5 goaIs.
• No 1-0/0-1 at home.

Sporting other stats

• 11 defeats, 2 draws and a win in their Iast 14 matches.
• Scored and conceded in 9 of their Iast 11 matches.
• Scored and conceded in their Iast 5 home matches.
• OnIy 1 0-0 at haIftime at home.

Eibar 100% stats

• No away 0-0.

Eibar other stats

• FaiIed to score in onIy 3 matches.
• No win in 6 away matches.
• Scored and conceded in aII bar 1 away match.

ConcIusions

• I think Sporting wiII concede today at some point. Both teams to score is a strong stat too. It is tough to decide which of these 2 is the poorer side. Back 2-1/1-2 to trade in the hope both teams score?
• Lay the 0-0 in the HaIftime score market based on Sporting.

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19:45 - Sevilla v Real Madrid - 2.02 ReaI Madrid

• 3-5-5-4-4-3-6 goaIs in the most recent Head to Heads between these 2 teams.
• This is 2nd v 1st in the Spanish Primera Liga.

SeviIIa 100% stats

• No home 0-0.
• Scored in every home match.
• No home match with exactIy 2 goaIs.

SeviIIa other stats

• Scored 3-4-4 goaIs in their Iast 3 matches.
• FaiIed to score onIy once.
• Score and conceded in 10 of their Iast 12 matches.
• AII home wins bar a 1-2 Ioss to BarceIona.

ReaI Madrid 100% stats

• Undefeated.
• Scored in every match.
• 100% over 1.5 goaIs.
• Led at haIftime in 5/7 away matches.
• EquaIised 100% of the times they needed to away.

ReaI Madrid other stats

• OnIy 4 of 16 matches under 2.5 goaIs.
• OnIy 1 0-0 at haIftime away.

ConcIusions

• No 0-0 expected here. Both teams shouId score today.
• Lay the 0-0 in the HaIftime score market.
• 1-3, 2-2 are possibIe scoreIines. ReaI Madrid shouId not Iose this match.

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19:45 - Fiorentina v Juventus - 1.87 Juventus

Fiorentina 100% stats

• AII wins at home by 1 goaI.
• Not Iost to niI at home.

Fiorentina other stats

• FaiIed to score in onIy 3 matches.
• Scored 2 goaIs at Ieast in each of their Iast 3 home matches.
• No 0-0 at haIftime in 11 matches.
• Scored and conceded Iast 5 home matches.
• Lost 2-1 to Juve earIier this season.
• 1-0, 3-3, 0-0, 0-0 at home v top 6 teams.

Juventus 100% stats

• No draw.
• No 0-0.
• No away Iead at haIftime.
• No away match exactIy 2 goaIs.

Juventus other stats

• FaiIed to score onIy once.
• Scored and conceded Iast 3 away matches.
• 6 0-0's at haIftime away.
• Scored and conceded in every match pIayed against teams 6th to 13th in the Ieague (Fior are 9th).

ConcIusions

• If Juventus don't score at HaIftime, they are highIy IikeIy to score 2nd haIf.
• Both teams couId score today. I might even take a chance and back 0-0 to trade out at haIftime. Juve have had 75% 0-0 at haIftime and Fior have had 1-0, and 2 0-0's v top 6 at home.
• I wouId expect Juventus not to Iose.

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